逻辑 Critical Reasoning-6524

标记
Outbreaks of Rift Valley fever occur irregularly in East Africa, several years apart. When outbreaks do occur, they kill thousands of cattle. A livestock vaccine against the disease exists but is rarely used. It is too expensive for farmers to use routinely, and since it is not effective until a month after vaccination, administering it after an outbreak begins helps very little. Nevertheless, experts predict that use of the vaccine will increase significantly within the next few years.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest justification for the experts' prediction?

【选项】Many cattle farmers in East Africa are nomadic or live in remote villages, and such farmers, who have little access to modern veterinary medicine, are particularly hard hit by outbreaks of Rift Valley fever.

选项是否正确?

  • 正确
  • 错误

正确的用户笔记

1个赞

大玲汁 2015-08-06 12:22:35

Fever几年一次,一来就死上千牛。有种疫苗可防治但不经常用,原因有二,(1)定期用对农民来说太贵,(2)疫苗生效慢,要一个月,因此,疫苗没帮上啥忙。尽管如此,砖家还是预测,在接下来的几年,疫苗使用会增加。为啥? D. 很多养牛的农民是游牧民族或者生活在偏远地区,少有机会接触到现代兽药,fever一来便会损失惨重。(两个点:1. many是多少,如果会买,构成significant increase吗?2. 没提到这些农民是否afford这笔买卖,或者这笔买卖对他们来说是否划算。总之不充分)

0个赞

ClaireXu 2015-10-21 11:56:07

游牧民族遭受打击跟fact无关,注意,这里是引入新信息解释结论。但是这里是出现一种矛盾,所以我们要解释的是gap,所以引入新信息是错的,应该与原文fact有关。

0个赞

Oooohhh 2016-09-30 23:13:17

无关信息,无关选项

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战斗乔 2016-07-11 15:36:36

选项:许多牧民是游牧的,或者住在很远的地方。他们不知道现代医疗的方法,所以会被疫情打击的很严重。 分析:都没有办法接触到现代医疗了,那也不会打疫苗啊,削弱。

0个赞

wujiaqi3347 2014-01-15 10:10:20

很多农民是游牧的或者住在偏远的乡镇,这些不能使用疫苗的农民,很难受到热风病爆发的波及。这些农民不能受到波及又怎么样呢。我现在要的是现在使用热风病疫苗控制疫情的原因。

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