逻辑 Critical Reasoning-20871

标记
The Earth’s rivers constantly carry dissolved salts into its oceans. Clearly, therefore, by taking the resulting increase in salt levels in the oceans over the past hundred years and then determining how many centuries of such increases it would have taken the oceans to reach current salt levels from a hypothetical initial salt-free state, the maximum age of the Earth’s oceans can be accurately estimated.

Which of the following is an assumption on which the argument depends?

【选项】The quantities of dissolved salts deposited by rivers in the Earth’s oceans have not been unusually large during the past hundred years

选项是否正确?

  • 正确
  • 错误

正确的用户笔记

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ian709 2014-07-04 23:55:23

这道题的答题点在原文最后一句话:“the maximum age of ...” 的maximum上。在计算ocean age时," salt levels in the oceans over the past hundred years ”是除数,想要计算结果取最大值,自然除数要取最小值或至少保证除数没有取最大值,而A选项恰巧答在这个点上,所以正解!

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ColdSheldon 2016-10-11 21:25:15

good thought 本质上是样本题 CQ1样本代表性 A选项提到了样本 否认了样本是一个偏离很大的样本 而答案B 并不要求样本一模一样才能反映总体情况

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Hellosaaama 2016-10-25 17:29:54

选取样本(过去100年的情况)=》要保证样本的代表性(没有异常变化)

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onlyjx 2016-07-22 20:16:06

这句话主要考的还是样本具有代表性

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christinasysu 2016-06-04 12:41:49

曼哈顿:I say "A" because if we are estimating billions of years based on 100 years of consecutive data, we must assume the 100 years is not an outlier.

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fighting4g 2015-09-10 17:10:26

因为这里是用过去100年的data去estimate过去几亿年的ocean age, 所以要确保过去100年的data不是outlier.

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